Wednesday, May 22, 2002

USS Clueless - Indo-Pak war

The Captain thinks that the most likely scenario for the first use of nuclear weapons in an Indian/Pakistani war would be as a defensive strike, in Pakistani territory, by Pakistan. Followed quickly by an Indian counterstrike, and then escalation. And I'm afraid he's right. What would we have done in 1980, say, if Warsaw Pact troops had burst into West Germany and were headed west? What would the French have done? Moreover, what if NATO troops had broken through East Germany and were headed into Poland? Do you think the Soviets would have just stood by? The balance is a little different when it's your own home territory, but I think the result would have been the same. Which is why it was so important that we and the Russians never fought directly...

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